俄罗斯国营电视台(RT)一个七天24小时全天候广播的英语新闻频道,提供俄罗斯对全球新闻的观点,最近其对乌克兰和俄罗斯战争前线的最新报道,不仅应该引起那些监视世界末日钟发展的人关注,也应该引起所有爱好和平人士注意。

世界末日钟是原子科学家公报(SSB)属下的科学与安全委员会创建的,用于警告公众,人类在危险使用科技下,距离世界末日还有多远,特别是大国拥有的核武,足于摧毁我们的世界。

2023年,末日钟距离“午夜”还有90秒。“午夜”意味著末日到来,全人类将面临灾难。这是由于乌克兰战争和使用核武的威胁促成的,也是自1947年末日钟创建以来,最接近午夜的一次。参见下表。

今年1月,末日钟也维持了同样的时间。

根据创建末日钟非政府组织,原子科学家公报(SSB):

我们再次将末日时钟定在午夜前90秒,因为人类继续面临前所未有的危险。我们的决定不应被视为国际安全局势有所缓和的迹象。反而,世界各地的领导人和公民应该将此声明视为严厉警告并紧急做出反应,就好像今天是现代历史上最危险的时刻一样。因为,局势很可能也是如此。请参阅https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/

现在,如果要求SSB重置时钟,其很可能会将时间移至更接近午夜的位置──午夜前60秒?

俄罗斯发出什么讯号

想想最近从俄罗斯方面传出的新闻,但西方主流媒体基本上忽略或提供了不同的报导

●8月28日,俄罗斯外交部长谢尔盖拉夫罗夫在谈到美国及其盟友时表示:“我们如今再次指出,美国与西方在玩火——就像小孩子玩火柴一样——对于在特定的西方国家被赋予核武器的成年人来说,这是一件非常危险的事情。”他还警告说:“美国人明显地在有关第三次世界大战课题上持有错误看法,他们相信一旦发生的话,只会局限于欧洲。”

●早些时候,俄罗斯总统普京警告说,莫斯科可能会对美国向乌克兰供应远程导弹做出不对称反应,而用先进武器武装与华盛顿敌对的组织或国家(例如朝鲜)。

●8月30日,俄罗斯外交部发言人玛丽亚扎哈罗娃声称,有迹象显示“乌克兰已自主在俄罗斯地区开展行动。(美国总统)拜登政府显然准备向泽伦斯基做出新的让步,让他可以自由地使用几乎任何类型的美国武器,包括深入到俄罗斯领土(进行攻击)。

除了俄罗斯对战争升级后果发出警告外,核灾事件(无论是错误还是故意)已经变得非常现实,俄罗斯敦促乌克兰的西方支持者利用影响力阻止乌克兰在有争议的库尔斯克地区对札波罗热核电厂展开攻击。

俄罗斯驻联合国副代表迪米特里·波利安斯基 (Dimitry Polyanskiy) 表示,“这种鲁莽行为……可能会引发核灾难事件,给整个欧洲带来悲惨后果。”

俄罗斯和乌克兰都指责对方参与核恐怖主义行为,库尔斯克的最新一轮冲突可能会导致一场灾难,其规模可能比先前核电厂灾难规模还要大。

俄乌战争的大部分报导和评论都可以在俄罗斯电视台(RT)上看到,除了英语之外,RT还拥有西班牙语、法语、德语、阿拉伯语、葡萄牙语和塞尔维亚语的受众。

尽管是国家控制的电视台,俄罗斯电视台观点文章和评论不应被简单地视为宣传或虚假资讯、半真半假的事实和影响公众舆论的谎言。

同时,有令人担忧发展是,根据近年冲突事件的分析,以及与西方日益“紧张”的关系,俄罗斯打算改变其核武立场。

根据《欧洲真理报》报道,俄罗斯副外长谢尔盖里亚布科夫在接受俄国通讯社采访时表示,“正如我们一再表示的那样,这项(探讨核武立场)工作已进入后期阶段,并且有明确的纠正决心,这很大程度上是对近年来冲突发展的研究和分析,当然包括我们西方对手的升级举动。”

停止向午夜前进

这些是乌克兰、北约、美国和世界其他国家需要认真对待的警告和信号。可以预见,包括西方智库和媒体在内的战争鹰派将继续忽视这些信号和警告。我们已经看到支持战争的游说团体和其他利益团体对这末日钟滴答声不屑一顾,并拒绝承认核灾发生可能性。

所有人都需要认识到,核战或类似灾难并不是一场有赢家和输家的电脑游戏。全人类都处于危险之中,并且都将成为输家。

林德宜《核灾即将来临?》原文:Is A Nuclear Disaster Coming Soon?

The latest news report on the war front in Ukraine and Russia by RT, the 24/7 English-language news channel which brings the Russian view on global news should give cause for concern not only to those monitoring the Doomsday Clock but also to all peace loving people. 

The Doomsday Clock is a device used by the Science and Security Board Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (SSB) to warn the public about how close we are to destroying our world with dangerous technologies, especially arising from the nuclear weapon arsenals available to the major powers.

In 2023 the Clock was moved to 90 seconds to midnight. Midnight is the time when the world’s population faces global catastrophe. This move, precipitated by the war in Ukraine and the threat of nuclear weapons being used, was the closest to midnight since the clock was created in 1947. See Table

According to SSB Today, 

we once again set the Doomsday Clock at 90 seconds to midnight because humanity continues to face an unprecedented level of danger. Our decision should not be taken as a sign that the international security situation has eased. Instead, leaders and citizens around the world should take this statement as a stark warning and respond urgently, as if today were the most dangerous moment in modern history. Because it may well be. See https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/

Right now, if the SSB is asked to reset the clock, it is likely that it will move the timing even closer to midnight – 60 seconds?

What Russia Is Signalling

Consider the news that has recently emerged from the Russian side but is largely ignored or provided with a different spin by western mainstream media

● On 28 August, Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov noted of the US and its allies: “We are now confirming once again that playing with fire – and they are like small children playing with matches – is a very dangerous thing for grown-up uncles and aunts who are entrusted with nuclear weapons in one or another Western countries.” He also warned: “Americans unequivocally associate conversations about [a] Third World War as something that, God forbid, if it happens, will affect Europe exclusively.”

● Earlier, Russian President Vladimir Putin warned that Moscow might engage in an asymmetrical response to the US supply of long-range systems to Ukraine, by arming groups or countries hostile to Washington – such as North Korea – with advanced weaponry. 

● On 30 August, Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova claimed that there was indication that “Ukraine has been given carte blanche for operations in Russian regions. The administration of [US President] Joe Biden is obviously getting ready to make new concessions to Zelensky and give him a free hand to use virtually any type of American weapons, including [for attacks] deep into Russian territory,” 

In addition to the Russian warning on the consequences of war escalation, the possibility of a nuclear blast incident – whether by mistake or intent – has become very real with Russia urging Western backers of Ukraine to use their leverage to stop attacks on the Zaporozhye nuclear power site in the disputed Kursk region.

According to the Russian Deputy Representative to the United Nations, Dimitry Polyanskiy, “This kind of recklessness … potentially could trigger a nuclear incident with tragic consequences for the whole of Europe.” 

Both Russia and Ukraine have accused each other of engaging in acts of nuclear terrorism with the latest round of conflict in Kursk bringing the possibility of a disaster that could eclipse the scale of previous disasters at nuclear power plants. 

Much of the war coverage and commentaries from the Russian side is accessible in RT which, besides English, also has Spanish, French, German, Arabic, Portuguese and Serbian language audiences.

Although a Russian state-controlled news television network, its opinion pieces and commentaries should not be simply dismissed as propaganda or disinformation, half truths and lies to influence public opinion.

Meanwhile, there is worrying news that Russia intends to change its nuclear doctrine based on an analysis of the conflicts of recent years and the “escalation course” of the West.

According to Sergei Ryabkov, Russia’s Deputy Foreign Minister, in a comment to TASS, as reported by European Pravda “As we have repeatedly stated, the work is at an advanced stage, and there is a clear determination to make a correction, which is due in large part to the study and analysis of the experience of conflict development in recent years, including, of course, everything related to our Western opponents’ escalation course.”

Stopping the Advance Towards Midnight

These are warnings and signals which Ukraine, NATO, the United States and the rest of the world need to take very seriously. We can expect that war hawks – including western think tanks and media – will continue to ignore them. We have seen the pro-war lobbies and other interest groups dismiss the ticking of the Doomsday Clock and refuse to join the dots on the prospect of a nuclear catastrophe taking place.

All need reminding that a nuclear war or similar disaster is not a computer game in which there are winners and losers. All of humanity is at stake and will be losers.

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